Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.664422 7.353276 8.117711 9.035734 10.117457 11.363246 12.923866
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.512821 6.400955 7.467760 8.868961 10.701137 13.077030 16.502908
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.861332 5.830041 7.054989 8.765052 11.174800 14.597144 20.143398
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.364902 5.356036 6.656589 8.556512 11.393588 15.732486 23.516803
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.036215 5.049939 6.423105 8.511071 11.798193 17.192505 27.920181
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.773405 4.799032 6.226438 8.473941 12.184132 18.687234 33.013711
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.621013 4.682320 6.200930 8.681061 12.990235 21.123488 41.386557
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.365924 4.395703 5.893950 8.396123 12.885231 21.775276 45.888091
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.141936 4.137271 5.605852 8.105654 12.717002 22.248648 50.240381
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.970945 3.944899 5.402524 7.932677 12.737495 23.135122 56.528445
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.847090 3.814412 5.284484 7.891296 13.003987 24.663496 66.399942
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.839467 3.858534 5.445659 8.359370 14.389558 29.452846 95.754196
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.756038 3.788167 5.427944 8.526018 15.238307 33.431318 132.158322
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.618884 3.626323 5.247740 8.369765 15.346439 35.372697 163.460449
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.505172 3.494537 5.107707 8.274242 15.580403 37.880827 211.316179
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.386383 3.347446 4.930023 8.082754 15.540916 39.460124 261.213011
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.301026 3.249894 4.831549 8.041006 15.877262 42.691467 365.491146
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.223724 3.161138 4.741915 8.006886 16.229304 46.280961 541.355258
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.183931 3.132248 4.757143 8.197135 17.251121 53.766926 1159.301282
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.085732 2.999991 4.574653 7.935357 16.911571 54.368908 1541.497929
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.993226 2.873644 4.396451 7.668126 16.513446 54.500281 2020.678004
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.920705 2.778418 4.271027 7.508806 16.419401 56.362244 3414.629831
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.868088 2.715069 4.201691 7.470672 16.699177 60.772522 10967.519973